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FC Hradec Králové vs. Tromsø IL - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "FC Hradec Králové vs. Tromsø IL - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

FC Hradec Králové (-1.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $99K Liquidity: $16K Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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FC Hradec Králové vs. Tromsø IL - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
FC Hradec Králové (-1.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
FC Hradec Králové O/U 0.5100%
FC Hradec Králové O/U 1.5100%
FC Hradec Králové O/U 2.5100%
Tromsø IL O/U 0.5100%
FC Hradec Králové 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Tromsø IL 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
FC Hradec Králové 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
FC Hradec Králové 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Team to Advance100%
Tromsø IL (-1.5)0%
FC Hradec Králové (-2.5)0%
Tromsø IL (-2.5)0%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Tromsø IL O/U 1.50%
Tromsø IL O/U 2.50%
FC Hradec Králové 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Tromsø IL 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Tromsø IL 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Tromsø IL 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Polymarket is pricing **More Markets** on this UEFA Europa League tie at **100% YES**, which means the contract is treating the existence of additional sub-markets as a certainty rather than making a call on the football outcome itself. On Polymarket, traders are posting USDC on Polygon into conditional tokens, so the position here is about whether extra markets will be listed and resolve before the window closes, not about who wins the match in Czechia. The real-world fixture is FC Hradec Králové against Tromsø IL, with UEFA’s match page listing the tie in the 2026/27 Europa League qualifying round.[1]

For context, the first leg in Tromsø ended **0-1 to Hradec Králové**, with Mick van Buren scoring in the 85th minute after Adam Zadražil saved a penalty, so the qualification picture is already shaped by that result.[2][4][6] Comparable UEFA qualifier markets often sit near certainty once the event has already been scheduled and a match page, official competition bracket, and live coverage are all in place; here, the market is effectively tracking a product-structure outcome around the fixture rather than a volatile in-play result.[1][13][16] That is why a 100% crowd price is less about sentiment and more about the mechanics of how the market has been defined and carried through to settlement.

The trader watch-list is narrow: any UEFA or Polymarket-side change to the event’s market slate, settlement rules, or match grouping would matter more than team news at this stage. The second-leg coverage confirms the aggregate context and fixture timing, while recent previews focused on Hradec defending the one-goal lead rather than on any remaining uncertainty over the tie itself.[13][16] In practice, the main dependency is whether the contract’s “more markets” definition remains satisfied by the current market catalogue before the 2026-07-30T17:00:00Z deadline, with official UEFA scheduling and Polymarket’s own market creation flow being the decisive inputs.[1]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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