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IK Sirius vs. Malmo FF - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "IK Sirius vs. Malmo FF - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 85% IK Sirius O/U 0.5 76% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 68% 2nd Half O/U 1.5 68% Volume: $154K Liquidity: $376K Closes: 31 Aug 2026
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IK Sirius vs. Malmo FF - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
85% 15% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
85% 15% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.585%
IK Sirius O/U 0.576%
2nd Half O/U 0.568%
2nd Half O/U 1.568%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half63%
IK Sirius O/U 1.562%
1st Half O/U 0.559%
O/U 1.557%
2nd Half O/U 2.557%
Both Teams to Score in First Half50%
Malmo FF O/U 0.550%
Malmo FF O/U 1.550%
IK Sirius 1st Half O/U 0.550%
Malmo FF 1st Half O/U 0.550%
IK Sirius 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
IK Sirius 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Malmo FF 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Malmo FF 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Both Teams to Score38%
O/U 2.530%
1st Half O/U 1.528%
1st Half O/U 2.528%
IK Sirius O/U 2.526%
IK Sirius 1st Half O/U 1.526%
Malmo FF 1st Half O/U 1.524%
Malmo FF O/U 2.522%
IK Sirius (-1.5)18%
O/U 3.512%
Malmo FF (-1.5)8%
IK Sirius (-2.5)6%
O/U 4.55%
Malmo FF (-2.5)2%
O/U 5.51%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, ik sirius vs. malmo ff - more markets stands at 85% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the Allsvenskan game, scheduled for August 31 at 1:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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