Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

Independiente Medellín’s Copa Sudamericana tie with CR Vasco da Gama is being priced at **0% YES** on Polymarket today, which means the crowd is assigning no value to this “more markets” contract even though the underlying match is still live as a real settlement event on Polygon using USDC and conditional tokens.[2][8] For a Polymarket user, that kind of line usually reflects either a contract that has been effectively discounted to dust, a market with very limited liquidity, or a view that the relevant sub-market is already settled by the way the ancillary terms are written rather than by the football result itself.[2][8]

Comparable pre-match pricing around the game itself does not point to a foregone conclusion. External books and tipsters had Medellín only a mild favourite, with moneyline prices around 2.28 to 2.35 for the home side, 3.25 to 3.50 for the draw, and 3.15 to 2.75 for Vasco, alongside expectations of goals on both sides or over 1.5 goals.[1][6][7][9] That sort of spread is more consistent with a competitive knockout first leg than with a one-sided fixture, especially with the match at Estadio Atanasio Girardot in Medellín.[1]

The main catalysts for a trader are confirmation of the exact “more markets” definition, the official result and whether any leg-specific or prop-style condition has been triggered, and any scheduling or line-up developments that could affect how the market is interpreted before settlement.[1][2] Because the contract closes on 2026-07-22T22:00:00Z, the practical watchpoints are whether Polymarket’s on-chain resolution data matches the listed match time and venue, and whether any late administrative changes from the clubs or organiser alter which outcome is treated as valid.[1][2]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.