Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| St Mirren FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| St Mirren FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| St Mirren FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| St Mirren FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| St Mirren FC (-1.5) | 99% |
| Falkirk FC O/U 0.5 | 1% |
| St Mirren FC O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 1% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| St Mirren FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Falkirk FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Falkirk FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| St Mirren FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Falkirk FC O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Falkirk FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Falkirk FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Falkirk FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| St Mirren FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Falkirk FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Falkirk FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Falkirk FC meet St Mirren FC in the Scottish Premiership, and Polymarket is pricing the “More Markets” contract at **0% YES** on a USDC-settled, Polygon-based conditional token market. That means a trader buying in today is paying almost nothing for the current set of listed outcomes, but still needs to check the exact event rules and whether the market is tied to the fixture itself or to specific sub-markets around it.
Historically, this is not a one-sided fixture. The clubs have met 31 times since 2004, with Falkirk winning 11, St Mirren 10, and 10 draws, while several recent meetings have been tight, including St Mirren’s 2-1 win at Falkirk in September 2025 and Falkirk’s 2-0 win away in January 2026[1][17][19]. That kind of split record matters because low-priced “more markets” contracts often hinge less on the headline winner and more on whether the game produces enough activity to satisfy the market’s specific settlement language.
The main catalysts are straightforward: team news, kick-off timing, and any late competition or registration updates that change which players are available. Sky Sports’ recent form notes show Falkirk’s summer cup results were mixed, with a 3-0 win over Stranraer on 25 July, but losses to Alloa and Ayr United earlier in the group stage, while St Mirren’s own recent Premiership results included defeats to Dundee and Livingston in late April and early May[4][6]. For a Polymarket user, the practical watchlist is whether the match goes ahead as scheduled and whether the relevant on-chain market is still open to resolution before the 2026-08-01T14:00:00Z settlement window closes.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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