Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5) | 100% |
| Universitatea Craiova CS (-2.5) | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Universitatea Craiova CS 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Universitatea Craiova CS 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Universitatea Craiova CS 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Universitatea Craiova CS 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC Petrolul Ploieşti (-1.5) | 0% |
| FC Petrolul Ploieşti (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Petrolul Ploieşti O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FC Petrolul Ploieşti O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC Petrolul Ploieşti O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Petrolul Ploieşti 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FC Petrolul Ploieşti 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Petrolul Ploieşti 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FC Petrolul Ploieşti 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing this **“More Markets”** contract at **100% YES** right now, so the market is treating the set of add-on outcomes on the Craiova–Petrolul fixture as fully resolved in the affirmative on the Polygon-based conditional token. On Polymarket, traders are posting and settling in USDC, so a 100% print implies there is effectively no discount left for uncertainty before the 1 August 18:30 UTC deadline.
The closest comparable read is the pair’s recent SuperLiga meeting on 19 January 2026, when Universitatea Craiova won **4-0** away, and another league meeting in August 2025 that Craiova also won **2-0** at home.[1][8][15] Head-to-head databases shown by SofaScore and AIScore both point to Craiova having the stronger historical record, with several wins across the last dozen meetings and Petrolul generally producing fewer goals in this matchup.[3][11] For a prediction-market user, that matters because “More Markets” contracts tend to inherit the same game-state dependency as the main fixture: once a match becomes one-sided, secondary lines can snap to the obvious outcome and stay there.
The practical catalysts are straightforward: confirmed team news, any late schedule change, and whether the match is played at Stadionul Ion Oblemenco in Craiova as listed for 1 August 2026.[9] Traders should also watch the official lineup and referee announcements, because these can affect subsidiary markets tied to goals, cards or first-half outcomes more than the match result itself. Recent reporting on the teams’ earlier league meeting highlighted Craiova’s home strength and Petrolul’s need to scrap for points, which is the sort of context that can keep auxiliary markets anchored if pre-match odds drift in the same direction.[6]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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