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Wisla Plock vs. Widzew Lodz - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Wisla Plock vs. Widzew Lodz - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Wisla Plock (-1.5) 0% Widzew Lodz (-1.5) 0% Wisla Plock (-2.5) 0% Widzew Lodz (-2.5) 0% Volume: $99K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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Wisla Plock vs. Widzew Lodz - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
0% 100% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
0% 100% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wisla Plock (-1.5)0%
Widzew Lodz (-1.5)0%
Wisla Plock (-2.5)0%
Widzew Lodz (-2.5)0%
O/U 0.50%
O/U 1.50%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Wisla Plock O/U 0.50%
Wisla Plock O/U 1.50%
Wisla Plock O/U 2.50%
Widzew Lodz O/U 0.50%
Widzew Lodz O/U 1.50%
Widzew Lodz O/U 2.50%
Wisla Plock 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Wisla Plock 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Widzew Lodz 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Widzew Lodz 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 0.50%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Wisla Plock 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Wisla Plock 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Widzew Lodz 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Widzew Lodz 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Wisła Płock and Widzew Łódź meet in Ekstraklasa action, and Polymarket currently prices the “More Markets” contract at **0% YES** on the conditional-token market settled in USDC on Polygon, which means the crowd is assigning no probability to extra market definitions being triggered before the 31 July 2026 settlement window closes. In practice, that makes the contract look more like a dead tail than a live football view, even though the underlying match is still being played.

Recent comparable form gives traders a useful frame: the teams’ head-to-head history has been mixed overall, but Widzew have had the better of the latest meetings, including a 2–0 win over Wisła Płock in February 2026 and a 1–1 draw in August 2025.[4][12][15][18] That sort of record usually matters more for ancillary markets than for the main result line, because “more markets” outcomes tend to depend on whether a match is officially run with the expected props and settlement rules rather than who starts as favourite.

The immediate catalysts are administrative rather than tactical: confirmed kick-off, any late postponement or abandonment risk, and whether the fixture is settled on the standard league schedule without feed or rules changes. Live data services already have the match listed and tracking line-ups and score, so traders should watch for any official league or venue announcement that would affect market definitions or event resolution.[1][3][2]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Wisla Plock vs. Widzew Lodz - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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