CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association

Platform comparison

Market context

CD Los Chankas defeated Sport Boys Association 1–0 in their Peru Liga 1 Torneo Clausura match on Sunday, 19 July 2026, at Estadio Los Chankas in Andahuaylas, confirming the 100% YES outcome on Polymarket today [3][4]. The contract, settled on Polygon using USDC and conditional tokens, now reflects a completed event rather than a speculative position, with the on-chain resolution mechanism locking in the winner as Los Chankas following the final whistle.

Historically, Peru Liga 1 matches between these sides have shown volatility, with a 1–1 draw in the 2026 Torneo Abierto opener at Estadio Miguel Grau, where Sport Boys hosted [2]. However, the Clausura fixture reversed that trend, as Los Chankas leveraged home advantage at their 10,000-capacity stadium to secure a narrow victory, a pattern consistent with their “strong at home” reputation cited in pre-match analysis [3]. This shift from draw to win frames the current 100% probability as a direct reflection of the Clausura result, not an abstract prediction.

Traders should monitor official league confirmations and broadcast archives from L1 Max and L1 Play, which carried the live match and minute-by-minute updates via RPP.pe, to verify settlement data [3][4]. Key catalysts included the 11:00 a.m. Lima start time and the goal by Jardlén Quintero, which sealed the 1–0 scoreline [4][6]. With the settlement window closing at 16:00 UTC on 19 July, the on-chain outcome is now immutable, aligning perfectly with the real-world result.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.