Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Team A | 50% |
| Team B | 50% |
| Team C | 50% |
| Team D | 50% |
| Team E | 50% |
| Other | 50% |
| Florida Panthers | 14% |
| Carolina Hurricanes | 12% |
| Colorado Avalanche | 11% |
| Edmonton Oilers | 7% |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 7% |
| Vegas Golden Knights | 7% |
| Dallas Stars | 6% |
| Minnesota Wild | 6% |
| Washington Capitals | 5% |
| Buffalo Sabres | 3% |
| Montreal Canadiens | 3% |
| New York Rangers | 3% |
| San Jose Sharks | 3% |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 3% |
| Utah Mammoth | 3% |
| Anaheim Ducks | 2% |
| Los Angeles Kings | 2% |
| New Jersey Devils | 2% |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 2% |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 2% |
| Boston Bruins | 1% |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 1% |
| Columbus Blue Jackets | 1% |
| Detroit Red Wings | 1% |
| New York Islanders | 1% |
| Ottawa Senators | 1% |
| St. Louis Blues | 1% |
| Winnipeg Jets | 1% |
| Calgary Flames | 0% |
| Nashville Predators | 0% |
| Seattle Kraken | 0% |
| Vancouver Canucks | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 50% chance of nhl: 2027 champion. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NHL for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it become…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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