Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
98% | 2% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
98% | 2% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Matthew Golden: Anytime Touchdown | 98% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 95% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 92% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 89% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 88% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 87% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 86% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 86% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 84% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 84% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 83% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 82% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 82% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 80% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 80% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 79% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 79% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 78% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 78% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 78% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 77% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 77% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 77% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 76% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 74% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 72% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 71% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 70% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 70% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 69% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 67% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 66% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 66% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 64% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 62% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 61% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 61% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 60% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 59% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 57% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 57% |
| Matthew Golden: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 56% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 55% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 54% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 54% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 53% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 52% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 52% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 51% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 51% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Longest Reception O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jordan Love: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| George Pickens: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| George Pickens: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Longest Reception O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Bo Melton: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jonathan Mingo: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| KaVontae Turpin: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Mark Redman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tyler Goodson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Jonathan Mingo: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| KaVontae Turpin: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Luke Schoonmaker: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Mark Redman: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Tyler Goodson: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 49% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 44% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 41% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 40% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 40% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 39% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 39% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 38% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 37% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 36% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 35% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 34% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 34% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 34% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 33% |
| Javonte Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 33% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 30% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 30% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 30% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 29% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 29% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 349.5 | 28% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 28% |
| George Pickens: Anytime Touchdown | 26% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 26% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 26% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 25% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 25% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 25% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 25% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 25% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Anytime Touchdown | 25% |
| Luke Schoonmaker: Anytime Touchdown | 25% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 24% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 23% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 23% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 22% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 22% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 22% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Jake Ferguson: Anytime Touchdown | 22% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Anytime Touchdown | 22% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 22% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 22% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 20% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 20% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 19% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 19% |
| Christian Watson: Anytime Touchdown | 19% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Anytime Touchdown | 19% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 18% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 18% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 18% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 17% |
| Tucker Kraft: Anytime Touchdown | 17% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 17% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 16% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 15% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 349.5 | 14% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 374.5 | 14% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 14% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 14% |
| Javonte Williams: 2+ Touchdowns | 14% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 14% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 119.5 | 14% |
| Tyler Goodson: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 13% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 13% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 13% |
| Jordan Love: Anytime Touchdown | 13% |
| Matthew Golden: 2+ Touchdowns | 13% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 13% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 13% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 13% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford: Anytime Touchdown | 13% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 13% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 12% |
| Dak Prescott: Anytime Touchdown | 12% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 12% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 12% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 374.5 | 11% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 11% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 11% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 11% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| CeeDee Lamb: 2+ Touchdowns | 11% |
| KaVontae Turpin: Anytime Touchdown | 8% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: 2+ Touchdowns | 6% |
| Tucker Kraft: 2+ Touchdowns | 6% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 6% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 9.5 | 6% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Jonathan Mingo: Anytime Touchdown | 5% |
| George Pickens: 2+ Touchdowns | 3% |
| Ryan Flournoy: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
Market context
Cowboys vs. Packers - Player Props. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 50% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-19T00:20:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Methodology
This page reviews Cowboys vs. Packers - Player Props across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
Trade Cowboys vs. Packers - Player Props on Polymarket Scam?
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →