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Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies

Five-platform snapshot of "Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

NRFI 100% O/U 8.5 52% 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 51% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 51% Volume: $871K Liquidity: $197K Closes: 9 Jul 2026
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Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NRFI100%
O/U 8.552%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.551%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.551%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.551%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.551%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.551%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.550%
Extra Innings50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies45%
O/U 9.540%
Spread -1.536%
Spread -1.534%
O/U 10.532%
O/U 11.523%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies. In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for July 1 at 8:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices NRFI at 100% for "Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies".

NRFI 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $871K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

Sports