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MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)

How the prediction-market book is pricing "MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Team A 50% Team B 50% Team C 50% Team D 50% Volume: $106K Liquidity: $14K Closes: 11 Oct 2026
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MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Team A50%
Team B50%
Team C50%
Team D50%
Team E50%
Other50%
Chicago White Sox37%
Cleveland Guardians37%
Milwaukee Brewers37%
Pittsburgh Pirates37%
Toronto Blue Jays37%
Washington Nationals37%
Arizona Diamondbacks36%
Cincinnati Reds36%
Houston Astros36%
Miami Marlins36%
Seattle Mariners32%
Atlanta Braves31%
Los Angeles Dodgers6%
Colorado Rockies3%
Kansas City Royals3%
Los Angeles Angels3%
New York Yankees3%
Tampa Bay Rays3%
Texas Rangers3%
Boston Red Sox2%
Chicago Cubs2%
Minnesota Twins2%
Philadelphia Phillies2%
Baltimore Orioles1%
Detroit Tigers1%
New York Mets1%
Athletics1%
San Diego Padres1%
St. Louis Cardinals1%
San Francisco Giants0%

Market context

MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team) — current market-implied probability: 50%. This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will re…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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