Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Scam? Pick polygram.ink |
64% | 36% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
64% | 36% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Scam?.
Active sub-markets
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians | 64% Detroit Tigers | 37% Cleveland Guardians |
| NRFI | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Spread -1.5 | 49% Detroit Tigers | 51% Cleveland Guardians |
| O/U 7.5 | 50% Over | 51% Under |
| Spread -1.5 | 20% Cleveland Guardians | 81% Detroit Tigers |
| Spread -2.5 | 36% Detroit Tigers | 64% Cleveland Guardians |
Market context
The Detroit Tigers travel to Cleveland on 13 June for an afternoon fixture against the Guardians, with Polymarket pricing the Tigers' victory at 64% (USDC settlement on Polygon). This represents a meaningful favourite status, though the conditional token structure means traders holding YES positions face full exposure to game-day variables—weather delays, late roster changes, or injury announcements in the hours before first pitch could shift the on-chain price materially.
Detroit's recent form provides context for the current odds. The Tigers have won 11 of their last 15 games as of early June, whilst Cleveland has struggled with inconsistency, hovering near .500 through the same stretch. Historical head-to-head records between these AL Central rivals show Detroit holding a slight edge in 2024 matchups, though Cleveland's pitching depth has occasionally neutralised Detroit's offensive advantages. The 64% probability reflects this asymmetry—not a blowout expectation, but a clear lean toward the Tigers' superior recent trajectory.
Traders should monitor pitching assignments and bullpen availability before settlement. Cleveland's rotation depth took a hit in early June with injury concerns affecting their starting staff; Detroit's pitching has remained relatively stable. Weather forecasts for Cleveland on 13 June matter—afternoon games at Progressive Field can be affected by lake-effect conditions. Any roster moves or late scratches announced within 24 hours of first pitch will likely trigger repricing on the conditional token market, as Polymarket's liquidity pools adjust to new information faster than traditional sportsbooks.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $425K.
Methodology
This page reviews Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Scam? — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??
- Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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