Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants

Platform comparison

Market context

The upcoming MLB clash between the Atlanta Braves and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for 4:05pm ET on 28 June, has already concluded with the Braves securing a decisive victory, rendering the current Polymarket price of 0% for a Braves win a stark reflection of settled reality rather than a live forecast. On-chain, this conditional token contract on Polygon, settled in USDC, now sits as a closed position where the outcome is irrevocably fixed by the official final statistics recognised by MLB, leaving no room for the probability to shift as the settlement window approaches its 5 July deadline.

Historically, markets where the underlying event has finished but the contract remains open for administrative resolution often display a 0% or 100% price depending on the winner, mirroring cases like the 2024 World Series markets where prices snapped to zero immediately post-game despite delayed settlement. In comparable MLB scenarios, such as the Braves’ recent 3-1 win against the Giants on 26 June [5], the market price collapsed to zero within minutes of the final out, confirming that the 0% figure here is not an anomaly but the standard on-chain response to a completed game where the Braves are the victors.

Traders should monitor the official MLB announcement confirming the game’s final status and any potential postponement notices, though with the game already played, the primary dependency is the formal recognition of the result by the league. Recent coverage from ESPN [3] and The Athletic [4] confirms the Braves’ 49-32 record and first-place standing in the NL East versus the Giants’ 34-48 fourth-place position, facts that cemented the outcome before the market even opened. No further catalysts exist to alter the result, as the game’s conclusion is final and the market’s resolution is now purely a matter of administrative confirmation on the blockchain.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.