Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The Atlanta Braves face the New York Mets on 14 June at 1:40PM ET in an NL East divisional matchup. Polymarket currently prices this contract at 0% YES, meaning the conditional token for a Braves victory holds negligible value in USDC terms on Polygon. This extreme pricing reflects either a technical issue with market initialisation or a severe information asymmetry—neither scenario is typical for MLB games between competitive teams in mid-June.

Historical precedent suggests extreme probabilities (below 2% or above 98%) in baseball markets often correct sharply once trading volume increases. The 2024 regular season saw similar flash-pricing anomalies in early-season divisional games, particularly when one team had recently suffered injuries or roster changes. The Braves' recent form and pitching availability relative to the Mets' lineup strength would normally generate meaningful two-way interest; a 0% price suggests the market lacks sufficient liquidity or has encountered a settlement-rule interpretation issue rather than reflecting genuine predictive consensus.

Traders should monitor starting pitcher announcements, which typically confirm 48–72 hours before game time. Recent roster moves, bullpen availability, and weather conditions at Truist Park will influence fair value once the market develops depth. The settlement window extends to 21 June, providing a week beyond the scheduled game date for postponement scenarios. Any official postponement triggers market extension; cancellation without a make-up game would resolve 50-50 on Polygon, creating asymmetric payoff structures that sophisticated traders may exploit if such outcomes appear underpriced relative to MLB scheduling norms.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.