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Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 93% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 79% Atlas FC O/U 0.5 76% O/U 1.5 75% Volume: $67K Liquidity: $1.0M Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
93% 7% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
93% 7% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.593%
2nd Half O/U 0.579%
Atlas FC O/U 0.576%
O/U 1.575%
CF Monterrey O/U 0.575%
1st Half O/U 0.570%
Both Teams to Score56%
Atlas FC 2nd Half O/U 0.555%
CF Monterrey 2nd Half O/U 0.552%
O/U 2.551%
Atlas FC 1st Half O/U 0.545%
2nd Half O/U 1.544%
CF Monterrey 1st Half O/U 0.543%
Atlas FC O/U 1.540%
CF Monterrey O/U 1.538%
1st Half O/U 1.533%
O/U 3.528%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half28%
Both Teams to Score in First Half20%
2nd Half O/U 2.520%
Atlas FC 2nd Half O/U 1.519%
CF Monterrey 2nd Half O/U 1.518%
Atlas FC (-1.5)16%
Atlas FC O/U 2.516%
CF Monterrey (-1.5)14%
O/U 4.514%
CF Monterrey O/U 2.514%
1st Half O/U 2.512%
Atlas FC 1st Half O/U 1.512%
CF Monterrey 1st Half O/U 1.512%
Atlas FC (-2.5)6%
O/U 5.56%
CF Monterrey (-2.5)5%

Market context

Atlas’s August 1 meeting with CF Monterrey is trading at **16% YES** for the “more markets” contract, which is the price Polymarket is assigning to extra market activity on this fixture rather than to the football result itself. On Polymarket, the position is held in USDC and resolved through Polygon-based conditional tokens, so the key question is whether the exchange ends up listing additional side markets before the settlement window closes at 2026-08-02T01:05:00Z.

Historically, Atlas–Monterrey is a pairing with enough scoring variation to support derivative markets, but Monterrey has had the stronger head-to-head record. Across 47 meetings since 2005, Monterrey have won 25 times to Atlas’s 11, with 11 draws, and one recent head-to-head source shows the last meeting ended 3-3[1][14]. That kind of mixed profile matters for traders because “more markets” contracts often hinge less on the eventual winner than on whether the operator builds out lines such as totals, both teams to score, cards, corners, or player props around a live and competitive fixture.

The main catalysts to watch are the matchday market build-out, any late team news that prompts extra derivatives, and the timing of market listing relative to kickoff and settlement. Recent match-centre and statistics feeds from Sportradar and SofaScore show the game being tracked as a live event with H2H and line-up infrastructure already in place, which is the kind of operational setup that usually supports additional market releases if the event remains active in the book[4][5][9][16]. On a Polymarket-user perspective, the trade still comes down to whether new conditional-token outcomes are created and stay open long enough to count before the window expires.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

Sports