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LoL: TLN Pirates vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: TLN Pirates vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Odd/Even Total Kills 100% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 90% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 90% Any Player Quadra Kill 50% Volume: $286K Liquidity: $125K Closes: 29 Jul 2026
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LoL: TLN Pirates vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor90%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Match Winner0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: tln pirates vs zyb esport (bo1) - lfl regular season stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL match between TLN Pirates and ZYB Esport in the LFL Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 29 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "TLN P…

Methodology

We track LoL: TLN Pirates vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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