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LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Live odds for "LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Game 1 Winner 100% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 100% Match Winner 95% Volume: $857K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 27 Jul 2026
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LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?100%
Match Winner95%
Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)91%
Game 2 Winner90%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor90%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
First Blood in Game 1?10%
O/U 2.5 Games9%
Any Player Quadra Kill1%
Any Player Penta Kill1%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of lol: shopify rebellion vs disguised (bo3) - lcs regular season. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between Shopify Rebellion and Disguised in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 26 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "S…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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