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LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Live odds for "LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 66% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 66% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 64% Match Winner 61% Volume: $55K Liquidity: $554K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
66% 34% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
66% 34% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?66%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?66%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Match Winner61%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon59%
Game 1 Winner57%
Game 2 Winner56%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?53%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?53%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
First Blood in Game 1?44%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon41%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?40%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?37%
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)34%
Any Player Quadra Kill33%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor32%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor32%
Any Player Quadra Kill29%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors25%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors8%

Market context

Market consensus: 66% chance of lol: jd gaming vs team we (bo3) - lpl group ascend. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between JD Gaming and Team WE in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 9 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" i…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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