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LoL: JD Gaming vs MIBR.LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: JD Gaming vs MIBR.LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game 1 Winner 100% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 100% Match Winner 99% Volume: $1.5M Liquidity: $958K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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LoL: JD Gaming vs MIBR.LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?100%
Match Winner99%
First Blood in Game 2?99%
Game 2 Winner98%
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs MIBR.LOS (+1.5)95%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?50%
O/U 2.5 Games21%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?10%
First Blood in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of lol: jd gaming vs mibr.los (bo3) - esports world cup group d. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between JD Gaming and MIBR.LOS in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 16 at 9:50AM ET. This market …

Methodology

We track LoL: JD Gaming vs MIBR.LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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