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LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Scam?.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 52% Odd/Even Total Kills 50% Any Player Penta Kill 49% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 48% Volume: $206K Liquidity: $145K Closes: 21 Jul 2026
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LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
52% 48% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
52% 48% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon52%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Any Player Quadra Kill39%
Match Winner37%

Market context

Market consensus: 52% chance of lol: hanwha life esports vs dn soopers (bo1) - kespa cup group stage. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between Hanwha Life Esports and DN SOOPers in the KeSPA Cup Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 21 at 7:15AM ET. This market will resolve…

Methodology

We track LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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