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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Scam?.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 78% O/U 3.5 Games 73% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? 64% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 61% Volume: $289K Liquidity: $375K Closes: 4 Jul 2026
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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
78% 22% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
78% 22% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon78%
O/U 3.5 Games73%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon61%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon61%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?56%
Odd/Even Total Kills53%
Odd/Even Total Kills52%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Game 4 Winner49%
First Blood in Game 3?49%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?49%
Game 1 Winner48%
Game 2 Winner48%
Game 3 Winner48%
First Blood in Game 4?47%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?47%
Match Winner46%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon46%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon45%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)38%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors38%
O/U 4.5 Games37%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor37%
Any Player Quadra Kill37%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor37%
Any Player Quadra Kill37%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?36%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?36%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors35%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?34%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Quadra Kill21%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor20%
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)19%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors13%
Any Player Penta Kill7%
Any Player Penta Kill6%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 78% YES probability for LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Bilibili Gaming and T1 in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 4 at 4:00AM ET. This market will …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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