Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| CS Herediano O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Puntarenas FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| CS Herediano 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Puntarenas FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| CS Herediano O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| CS Herediano O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| Puntarenas FC O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Puntarenas FC O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| CS Herediano 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Puntarenas FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 1% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 1% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| CS Herediano 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 1% |
| CS Herediano 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Puntarenas FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 1% |
| Puntarenas FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| CS Herediano (-1.5) | 0% |
| Puntarenas FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| CS Herediano (-2.5) | 0% |
| Puntarenas FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing the **“More markets”** contract at **0% YES** today, which on Polygon means traders are assigning essentially no value to the settlement completing in the affirmative with USDC-backed conditional tokens. For the underlying match, CS Herediano face Puntarenas FC in Costa Rica’s Liga Promerica, a fixture that is typically approached on Polymarket as a separate information event from the outright winner market. [1]
Historical head-to-head data points towards Herediano being the stronger side: FootyStats’ match-up records show Herediano have won 13 of the 22 meetings in one dataset, and 14 of 24 in another language version of the same page, with Puntarenas taking only 3 and 4 wins respectively. Independent odds pages also list Herediano as the favourite, with implied win probabilities around the high-40s and a lean towards a low-scoring game. [2][3][5][6]
For traders, the key catalysts are not abstract form narratives but concrete market mechanics: the scheduled kick-off, any league rescheduling, and whether the contract’s “more markets” criteria are actually triggered by published match data before the settlement window closes at 2026-07-24T02:00:00Z. Because Polymarket resolves via on-chain conditional tokens, the tradeable question is whether the documented event and any qualifying sub-markets appear in time and settle cleanly, rather than who simply looks better on paper. [1][5]
Methodology
This page reviews CS Herediano vs. Puntarenas FC - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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