Scotland vs. Morocco - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket has this contract at **11% YES**, so the market is pricing a fairly low chance of the listed exact score landing in regulation plus stoppage time. On Polymarket, that view is expressed in **USDC** on **Polygon** through conditional tokens, so the price is the live crowd’s read on the probability rather than a statement about the football itself.

For framing, exact-score markets are usually the hardest football outcomes to price because they are far more granular than win/draw/total-goals bets. The match itself has been priced by major sportsbooks as roughly Scotland **+475** and Morocco **-150** on the moneyline, with totals around **2.5** goals, which implies the game is being treated as relatively tight rather than open-ended.[4][1] Scotland and Morocco also arrive with recent competitive context that supports caution: ESPN lists Scotland as 1-0-0 with a clean sheet, while Morocco are 0-1-0 after their opening group result, so a narrow scoreline or goalless spell is more plausible than a wide-margin result.[4]

For traders, the main catalysts are the official line-ups, any injury or rotation news, and the match environment once kick-off nears. FIFA has the fixture at the World Cup match centre, and the market rules resolve on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties, so late game-state swings matter more than any knockout-style outcome.[9] If the scheduled 6pm Boston kick-off is delayed, rescheduled, or eventually completed after postponement, the contract stays open until the match is actually played, which matters for anyone holding USDC exposure into the settlement window.[3]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??

Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.