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Portugal vs. Spain - Player Props

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Portugal vs. Spain - Player Props" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Scam?.

Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ shots 92% Lamine Yamal: 1+ shots 92% Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots 92% Lamine Yamal: 2+ shots 81% Volume: $168K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Portugal vs. Spain - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
92% 8% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
92% 8% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ shots92%
Lamine Yamal: 1+ shots92%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots92%
Lamine Yamal: 2+ shots81%
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ shots76%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shots76%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ shots73%
João Félix: 1+ shots70%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots on target69%
Ferrán Torres: 1+ shots67%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ shots on target65%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ shots60%
Bruno Fernandes: 2+ shots55%
Lamine Yamal: 3+ shots54%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shots54%
David Raya: 2+ saves50%
David Raya: 3+ saves50%
David Raya: 5+ saves50%
Diogo Costa: 2+ saves50%
Diogo Costa: 3+ saves50%
Diogo Costa: 5+ saves50%
Bruno Fernandes: 2+ goals + assists50%
Bruno Fernandes: 3+ goals + assists50%
Ferrán Torres: 1+ goals + assists50%
Ferrán Torres: 2+ goals + assists50%
Ferrán Torres: 3+ goals + assists50%
João Félix: 1+ goals + assists50%
João Félix: 2+ goals + assists50%
João Félix: 3+ goals + assists50%
João Félix: 4+ goals + assists50%
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals + assists50%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goals + assists50%
Nico Williams: 2+ goals + assists50%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 4+ shots on target49%
Ferrán Torres: 1+ shots on target49%
Gonçalo Ramos: 1+ shots on target49%
David Raya: 4+ saves49%
Gonçalo Ramos: 1+ shots48%
Bruno Fernandes: 3+ shots on target48%
Gonçalo Ramos: 2+ shots on target48%
Gonçalo Ramos: 3+ shots on target48%
João Félix: 1+ shots on target48%
João Félix: 2+ shots on target48%
João Félix: 3+ shots on target48%
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shots on target48%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ shots on target48%
Nico Williams: 2+ shots on target48%
Nico Williams: 3+ shots on target48%
Lamine Yamal: 1+ shots on target43%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals41%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goals + assists39%
Nico Williams: 1+ goals + assists39%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals + assists38%
Lamine Yamal: 3+ goals + assists37%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 4+ shots36%
Nico Williams: 3+ goals + assists36%
Gonçalo Ramos: 2+ shots35%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals34%
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals34%
Nico Williams: 1+ shots on target34%
Ferrán Torres: 2+ shots33%
João Félix: 2+ shots33%
Ferrán Torres: 3+ shots32%
Nico Williams: 4+ goals + assists31%
Ferrán Torres: 2+ shots on target30%
Ferrán Torres: 3+ shots on target29%
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals + assists29%
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shots28%
Nico Williams: 1+ shots28%
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists28%
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ shots on target28%
Ferrán Torres: 4+ shots on target28%
Diogo Costa: 4+ saves28%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals + assists28%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ shots27%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals + assists27%
Lamine Yamal: 4+ goals + assists26%
Lamine Yamal: 2+ shots on target25%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 4+ goals + assists25%
Ferrán Torres: 4+ goals + assists25%
Bruno Fernandes: 4+ goals + assists24%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ goals + assists24%
Nico Williams: 2+ shots23%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shots on target23%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals + assists23%
João Félix: 3+ shots21%
Lamine Yamal: 5+ shots21%
Nico Williams: 3+ shots20%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ shots on target20%
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assists19%
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goals18%
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goals + assists18%
Gonçalo Ramos: 3+ shots17%
Gonçalo Ramos: 4+ shots17%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 5+ shots16%
Bruno Fernandes: 3+ shots15%
Nico Williams: 4+ shots15%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 5+ shots14%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ assists14%
Lamine Yamal: 3+ shots on target14%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shots on target14%
João Félix: 4+ shots13%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ assists13%
Bruno Fernandes: 2+ shots on target13%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ shots on target13%
Ferrán Torres: 2+ goals12%
Gonçalo Ramos: 5+ shots12%
João Félix: 2+ assists12%
Nico Williams: 1+ goals11%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ assists11%
Gonçalo Ramos: 1+ goals10%
Nico Williams: 3+ goals10%
Ferrán Torres: 4+ shots10%
Ferrán Torres: 5+ shots10%
Nico Williams: 5+ shots10%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals9%
Ferrán Torres: 1+ goals9%
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals9%
Bruno Fernandes: 4+ shots9%
Nico Williams: 1+ assists9%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goals8%
Nico Williams: 2+ goals8%
Ferrán Torres: 1+ assists8%
Nico Williams: 2+ assists8%
João Félix: 1+ goals6%
João Félix: 5+ shots6%
João Félix: 1+ assists6%
Lamine Yamal: 2+ assists6%
Gonçalo Ramos: 2+ goals5%
Ferrán Torres: 2+ assists5%
Bruno Fernandes: 5+ shots4%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ assists4%
Ferrán Torres: 3+ goals3%
Gonçalo Ramos: 3+ goals3%
Bruno Fernandes: 2+ assists3%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals2%
João Félix: 2+ goals2%
Lamine Yamal: 3+ goals2%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goals2%
Bruno Fernandes: 2+ goals1%
João Félix: 3+ goals1%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 92% probability to portugal vs. spain - player props. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Portugal and Spain, scheduled for July 6 at 3:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews Portugal vs. Spain - Player Props across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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