Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Scam? Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Scam?.
Active sub-markets
| Total Corners: O/U 12.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Portugal Corners: O/U 5.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 5.5 | 1% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 11.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Team to Take First Corner | 0% Portugal | 100% DR Congo |
Market context
Portugal will face DR Congo in a FIFA World Cup group-stage match on 17 June 2026. The corners market on Polymarket is currently pricing YES (over a specified threshold) at 0%, meaning traders are collectively assigning zero probability to the outcome. This extreme pricing reflects either a technical settlement issue, minimal liquidity, or a threshold set so high that conditional token holders see it as unreachable. USDC holders on Polygon can mint or trade these conditional tokens until the settlement window closes at 17:00 UTC on match day.
Comparable World Cup corners markets have historically settled between 9 and 13 total corners per match, depending on team styles and referee tolerance. Portugal typically generates 4–6 corners per game under Fernando Santos or successor management, whilst DR Congo, ranked 74th globally, averages fewer set-piece opportunities. Group-stage matches between mismatched opponents often produce lower corner counts than competitive fixtures, since dominant teams control possession and limit defensive set plays. The 0% probability suggests either the threshold is pitched above 14 corners—an outlier for such a pairing—or the market has suffered from liquidity fragmentation.
Traders should monitor official FIFA fixture confirmation and any late team news affecting Portugal's squad depth, as injuries to key players could alter tactical approach. DR Congo's preparation level and recent competitive matches will influence their defensive organisation. Referee assignment, typically announced 48 hours before kick-off, matters: stricter officials tend to whistle fewer corner kicks. Settlement hinges on official FIFA match statistics, which are published within hours of full-time.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $479K.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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