Norway vs. England - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

The upcoming FIFA World Cup quarter-final between Norway and England, set for 5:00 PM ET on 11 July 2026 in Miami, presents a high-stakes clash where Norway’s historic run contrasts with England’s resilient path. On Polymarket today, the contract for an “Exact Score” outcome trades at a 7% implied probability for the YES side, priced in USDC on the Polygon network using conditional tokens that settle only on the 90-minute result, excluding extra time or shoot-outs.

Historically, Norway’s 2-1 upset of five-time champions Brazil, driven by Erling Haaland’s second-half double, marks their deepest World Cup run and first quarter-final appearance, a feat that reshapes expectations for their defensive fragility against England’s attack [1][4]. England’s own 3-2 thriller over Mexico, featuring goals from Harry Kane and Jude Bellingham despite a red card, underscores their ability to score in tight games but also highlights vulnerabilities in high-pressure matches [8][9].

Traders should monitor squad announcements for Norway’s Haaland and England’s Kane, as fatigue or tactical shifts could alter scoring dynamics, alongside weather updates for Miami’s venue which may affect play conditions [2]. Recent coverage from talkSPORT confirms Haaland’s pivotal role in Norway’s Brazil victory, suggesting his fitness remains a critical catalyst for the match’s exact score outcome [1].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Norway vs. England - Exact Score across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.