Haiti vs. Scotland - Total Corners

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Haiti and Scotland will meet in a FIFA World Cup qualifier on 13 June 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. The Polymarket contract pricing this fixture at 0% YES reflects trader conviction that the combined corner count will fall below a specified threshold—likely 8 or 9 corners, given typical match distributions. On-chain liquidity remains thin; the conditional token structure on Polygon means positions settle in USDC against whatever corner total FIFA's official records confirm post-match.

Historical corner data from competitive Caribbean and British Isles fixtures suggests wide variance. Haiti's recent qualifying campaigns have produced matches ranging from 4 to 12 corners depending on opponent intensity and tactical setup. Scotland's last World Cup cycle saw corner totals cluster between 6 and 11 per match. The 0% probability currently priced suggests traders view the under as heavily favoured—either expecting a low-intensity, defensive encounter or anticipating one side will dominate possession without forcing repeated set plays. Comparable CONCACAF-UEFA matchups in qualifying rounds have averaged 7–9 corners, making extreme unders less common than the market's current stance implies.

Traders should monitor team news through early June, particularly Scotland's squad availability and Haiti's preparation schedule. Fixture congestion in the weeks preceding 13 June could affect fitness levels and pressing intensity. Weather conditions in the match venue—temperature and wind—will influence crossing frequency. Any late tactical announcements from either camp, especially shifts toward defensive setups, could shift the corner expectation materially before settlement on 14 June at 01:00 UTC.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.