Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Côte d'Ivoire and Norway will meet in the FIFA World Cup Round of 32 on Tuesday, 30 June 2026, with kick-off at 17:00 GMT in Texas. On Polymarket today, the YES contract for Côte d'Ivoire winning trades at 27%, reflecting a market that sees Norway as the slight favourite despite the early money flowing heavily toward the Ivorian side[1]. The conditional tokens are settled in USDC on the Polygon network, where traders are betting on a tight contest that could reach extra time, with Norway currently offering even money plus 100 to win[1].

Historically, Round of 32 matches between teams finishing second in their groups often produce narrow margins, with 2-1 or 2-2 scores leading to extra time being a common outcome in recent World Cup knockout stages[1]. Comparable cases show that when early money drops a line significantly, the final result frequently aligns with the adjusted probability rather than the opening price, suggesting the 27% figure may be a more accurate reflection of the true odds than the initial market implied[1].

Traders should monitor the final squad announcements and any late injury updates before the 17:00 GMT kick-off, as these dependencies can shift conditional token prices rapidly[2]. Recent coverage confirms Norway finished second in Group I, while Côte d'Ivoire secured their historic qualification, making both teams’ form and tactical setups critical catalysts for the next price movement[2][5]. The match centre data also highlights Mbappé and Olise as potential partnership threats for France, which indirectly frames Norway’s defensive resilience as a key factor in their upcoming clash[4].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??

Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.