Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Côte d'Ivoire and Ecuador meet in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage on 14 June at 7:00 PM ET. The market prices an exact-score outcome at 14% YES, implying the conditional token for this specific result trades at roughly 0.14 USDC on Polygon. Settlement hinges on the final whistle at 90 minutes plus stoppage time; any deviation from the listed scorelines resolves to "Any Other Score," which currently captures the majority of liquidity.

Historical World Cup group-stage matches between African and South American nations show wide variance in scorelines. Ecuador's 2022 campaign included a 1–2 loss to Qatar and a 1–1 draw with the Netherlands, whilst Côte d'Ivoire qualified for 2026 after a 16-year absence, finishing second in their African qualifying group. Direct precedent is limited—these sides have not met competitively. Ecuador's recent form under Félix Sánchez Ibáñez emphasises defensive solidity, whilst Côte d'Ivoire's squad blends experienced players with emerging talent. The 14% probability reflects the inherent difficulty of pinpointing exact scores in football; most single-outcome markets in group-stage fixtures trade between 8–18%.

Traders should monitor squad announcements through early June, particularly injury updates affecting key players. Ecuador's fixture congestion in CONMEBOL qualifying and Côte d'Ivoire's preparation schedule may influence fatigue levels. Weather conditions at the venue and final group compositions—which determine tactical approaches—become clearer as the tournament approaches. Pre-match odds from major sportsbooks will provide real-time calibration for conditional token pricing on Polygon.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.