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Canada vs. Morocco - Player Props

Five-platform snapshot of "Canada vs. Morocco - Player Props" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ shots 100% Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ shots 100% Jonathan David: 1+ shots 99% Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ shots 95% Volume: $255K Liquidity: $469K Closes: 4 Jul 2026
Open live market →
Canada vs. Morocco - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ shots100%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ shots100%
Jonathan David: 1+ shots99%
Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ shots95%
Yassine Bounou: 2+ saves76%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ shots75%
Jonathan David: 2+ shots69%
Jonathan David: 3+ shots60%
Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ shots on target60%
Brahim Díaz: 3+ shots56%
Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ shots56%
Soufiane Rahimi: 4+ shots53%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ shots52%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ shots52%
Cyle Larin: 1+ shots52%
Promise David: 1+ shots52%
Promise David: 3+ shots52%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals51%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ assists51%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ shots50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ shots50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 5+ shots50%
Brahim Díaz: 2+ shots50%
Brahim Díaz: 4+ shots50%
Brahim Díaz: 5+ shots50%
Cyle Larin: 2+ shots50%
Cyle Larin: 3+ shots50%
Cyle Larin: 4+ shots50%
Cyle Larin: 5+ shots50%
Jonathan David: 4+ shots50%
Jonathan David: 5+ shots50%
Promise David: 2+ shots50%
Promise David: 4+ shots50%
Promise David: 5+ shots50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ shots50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 5+ shots50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ shots50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 4+ shots50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ shots on target50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ shots on target50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ shots on target50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ shots on target50%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ shots on target50%
Brahim Díaz: 2+ shots on target50%
Brahim Díaz: 3+ shots on target50%
Cyle Larin: 1+ shots on target50%
Cyle Larin: 2+ shots on target50%
Cyle Larin: 3+ shots on target50%
Ismael Saibari: 1+ shots on target50%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ shots on target50%
Ismael Saibari: 3+ shots on target50%
Ismael Saibari: 4+ shots on target50%
Jonathan David: 1+ shots on target50%
Jonathan David: 2+ shots on target50%
Jonathan David: 3+ shots on target50%
Promise David: 1+ shots on target50%
Promise David: 2+ shots on target50%
Promise David: 3+ shots on target50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ shots on target50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ shots on target50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 4+ shots on target50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ shots on target50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ shots on target50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ shots on target50%
Dayne St. Clair: 2+ saves50%
Dayne St. Clair: 3+ saves50%
Dayne St. Clair: 4+ saves50%
Dayne St. Clair: 5+ saves50%
Yassine Bounou: 3+ saves50%
Yassine Bounou: 4+ saves50%
Yassine Bounou: 5+ saves50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals + assists50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ goals + assists50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ goals + assists50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ goals + assists50%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals + assists50%
Brahim Díaz: 2+ goals + assists50%
Brahim Díaz: 3+ goals + assists50%
Cyle Larin: 1+ goals + assists50%
Cyle Larin: 2+ goals + assists50%
Cyle Larin: 3+ goals + assists50%
Cyle Larin: 4+ goals + assists50%
Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals + assists50%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ goals + assists50%
Ismael Saibari: 3+ goals + assists50%
Jonathan David: 1+ goals + assists50%
Jonathan David: 2+ goals + assists50%
Jonathan David: 3+ goals + assists50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goals + assists50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ goals + assists50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ goals + assists50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 4+ goals + assists50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 5+ shots50%
Brahim Díaz: 4+ goals + assists49%
Ismael Saibari: 4+ goals + assists49%
Jonathan David: 4+ goals + assists49%
Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ goals30%
Jonathan David: 1+ goals21%
Ismael Saibari: 1+ shots20%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals19%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goals17%
Brahim Díaz: 2+ assists14%
Jonathan David: 3+ goals13%
Promise David: 2+ goals13%
Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ goals13%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ goals13%
Cyle Larin: 1+ assists13%
Jonathan David: 2+ assists13%
Brahim Díaz: 3+ goals12%
Cyle Larin: 3+ goals12%
Promise David: 1+ goals12%
Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ goals12%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ assists12%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ assists12%
Cyle Larin: 2+ assists12%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ assists12%
Jonathan David: 1+ assists11%
Cyle Larin: 1+ goals9%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ assists9%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ goals8%
Promise David: 3+ goals8%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ goals7%
Brahim Díaz: 2+ goals2%
Cyle Larin: 2+ goals2%
Jonathan David: 2+ goals2%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ goals2%
Ismael Saibari: 5+ shots1%
Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals0%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ goals0%
Ismael Saibari: 3+ goals0%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ shots0%
Ismael Saibari: 3+ shots0%
Ismael Saibari: 4+ shots0%
Ismael Saibari: 1+ assists0%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ assists0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, canada vs. morocco - player props stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Canada and Morocco, scheduled for July 4 at 1:00 PM ET.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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