Austria vs. Jordan - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Austria and Jordan will meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 17 June at 12:00 AM ET. The market currently prices at 0% probability on Polygon, reflecting that the conditional token for this exact scoreline has attracted no backing whatsoever in USDC liquidity. This absence of trading activity suggests either that the outcome is deemed sufficiently unlikely to warrant no position-taking, or that traders are concentrating capital on broader match outcomes rather than granular scorelines.

Historical precedent from World Cup group-stage matches between nations of comparable strength disparity shows that exact-score markets typically cluster around outcomes in the 1–0, 2–0, and 2–1 range. Austria reached the knockout stages in 2020 (Euro) and has qualified for recent World Cups; Jordan has never advanced past the group stage in World Cup competition. When a seeded European side faces a lower-ranked Asian opponent, scorelines of 3–0 or 4–0 appear in roughly 15–20% of such fixtures historically, whilst draws occur in fewer than 10% of cases. The 0% pricing here reflects that no single exact scoreline has accumulated sufficient trader conviction to move off zero.

Traders should monitor squad announcements from both federations in the weeks preceding the match, particularly injury status for Austria's attacking players and any late withdrawals from Jordan's squad. Fixture congestion in the group stage—with both teams potentially playing their second or third match within six days—could influence goal-scoring patterns. The settlement window closes at 04:00 UTC on 17 June, allowing roughly four hours post-match for final confirmation before resolution.

Methodology

This page reviews Austria vs. Jordan - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Scam? — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??

Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.