Palestine vs. Kenya - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Palestine and Kenya will meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 6 June 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. The market settles on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with any result not explicitly listed resolving to "Any Other Score." The 100% YES probability currently priced on Polymarket reflects conditional token mechanics where USDC collateral on Polygon has been deployed entirely into one outcome bucket, suggesting either a technical settlement edge or minimal liquidity depth in the order book.

Historical precedent for Palestine–Kenya friendlies is sparse; the nations have not played competitively in recent FIFA windows. Palestine's fixture schedule remains constrained by geopolitical factors affecting travel and venue access, whilst Kenya's recent friendlies have produced mixed results against regional opponents. When Polymarket prices a niche international friendly at absolute certainty, traders typically face either a data-entry error in the outcome list or a liquidity trap where early depositors locked capital before secondary market depth formed. The settlement window closes 6 June 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, allowing roughly four hours post-match for final score confirmation.

Traders should monitor FIFA's official fixture calendar for any postponement announcements, which would keep the market open indefinitely. Venue confirmation and squad announcements from both federations typically arrive 7–10 days before friendlies. The exact-score format concentrates risk heavily; even a 1–0 result splits probability across multiple listed outcomes, meaning the current 100% reading likely reflects incomplete outcome enumeration rather than genuine market consensus on the scoreline itself.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.