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Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5) 100% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 100% First Blood in Game 2? 90% Ends in Daytime 50% Volume: $1.8M Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100%
First Blood in Game 2?90%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?49%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?8%
Any Player Rampage3%
Ends in Daytime1%
Both Teams Beat Roshan1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
First Blood in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of dota 2: vici gaming vs team yandex (bo3) - esports world cup playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Dota 2 Third place match between Vici Gaming and Team Yandex in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 19 at 6:00AM ET. This market…

Methodology

We track Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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