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Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Scam?.

Any Player Ultra Kill 100% Game 2 Winner 62% Ends in Daytime 54% Any Player Ultra Kill 52% Volume: $232K Liquidity: $260K Closes: 29 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Player Ultra Kill100%
Game 2 Winner62%
Ends in Daytime54%
Any Player Ultra Kill52%
Both Teams Beat Roshan51%
Ends in Daytime51%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs RE.Arise (+1.5)50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Match Winner34%
Ends in Daytime10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Game Handicap: RE.Arise (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)1%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%
Any Player Rampage1%
Game 1 Winner0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of dota 2: re.arise vs zero tenacity (bo3) - epl masters group b. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between RE.Arise and Zero Tenacity in the EPL Masters Group B, initially scheduled for July 29 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "RE…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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