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Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team AION (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

Live odds for "Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team AION (BO3) - European Pro League Group A" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Game 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Both Teams Beat Roshan 99% Both Teams Destroy Barracks 99% Volume: $298K Liquidity: $475K Closes: 2 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team AION (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan99%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks99%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Match Winner26%
Any Player Rampage2%
Any Player Ultra Kill2%
Any Player Rampage2%
Both Teams Beat Roshan1%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%
Ends in Daytime1%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game Handicap: Nemiga (-1.5) vs Team AION (+1.5)0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team AION (BO3) - European Pro League Group A. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nemiga Gaming and Team AION in the European Pro League Group A, initially scheduled for July 2 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nemiga Gaming"…

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team AION (BO3) - European Pro League Group A across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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