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Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Match Winner 84% Game 1 Winner 76% Game 2 Winner 76% Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5) 57% Volume: $189K Liquidity: $561K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
84% 16% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
84% 16% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner84%
Game 1 Winner76%
Game 2 Winner76%
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)57%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?55%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?55%
Any Player Rampage53%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime51%
Ends in Daytime51%
Both Teams Beat Roshan51%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks51%
Any Player Ultra Kill51%
First Blood in Game 1?45%
First Blood in Game 2?44%
O/U 2.5 Games38%
Both Teams Beat Roshan38%
Any Player Ultra Kill37%
Any Player Ultra Kill34%
Both Teams Beat Roshan31%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks29%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks29%
Any Player Rampage27%
Any Player Rampage26%

Market context

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 84%. This market refers to the Dota 2 Quarterfinal 2 match between Team Falcons and Vici Gaming in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 16 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve t…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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