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Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Five-platform snapshot of "Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 89% Game 2 Winner 83% Game 1 Winner 80% Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5) 64% Volume: $80K Liquidity: $477K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
89% 11% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
89% 11% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner89%
Game 2 Winner83%
Game 1 Winner80%
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)64%
First Blood in Game 1?57%
Any Player Rampage52%
Ends in Daytime51%
Ends in Daytime51%
Ends in Daytime51%
Any Player Ultra Kill51%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?48%
Both Teams Beat Roshan40%
First Blood in Game 2?36%
O/U 2.5 Games30%
Both Teams Beat Roshan28%
Both Teams Beat Roshan28%
Any Player Ultra Kill25%
Any Player Ultra Kill24%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks23%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks23%
Any Player Rampage14%
Any Player Rampage14%

Market context

The Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage prediction market currently prices this outcome at 89% YES. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between Team Falcons and GamerLegion in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will reso…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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