AC Horsens vs. FC Nordsjælland - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

Polymarket is pricing this **More Markets** contract at **0% YES**, which means the market currently assigns no value to the relevant extra outcome being realised in the AC Horsens v FC Nordsjælland Superliga fixture. On Polymarket, that price reflects traders swapping **USDC** against **conditional tokens** on **Polygon**, so the quotation is a live crowd view of the contract rather than a prediction of the football match itself. The underlying game is scheduled at CASA Arena in Horsens, with kickoff listed at 16:00 UTC / 5:00 pm local time.[2][1]

For context, a 0% print in a “more markets” contract usually means the market believes the required ancillary event is either not available, already ruled out by the data feed, or too unlikely to justify even a small bid. The last comparable meeting between these sides finished **Horsens 2-2 Nordsjælland**, showing that the fixture can produce goals, but that result does not by itself resolve a side market tied to a specific rule-set or trigger.[3] In practice, traders read this kind of market by checking whether the exchange has already locked in the match metadata and whether the settlement conditions match the published game status.[2][3]

The main catalysts are operational rather than tactical: lineup announcements, last-minute schedule changes, postponements, and any update that alters the official match record used by the oracle. Because the contract settles off-chain against real-world data, the key watchpoints are the confirmed kickoff, final status at full time, and whether the event is recorded cleanly enough for the Polygon-based conditional token to resolve as expected.[2][1]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3

Methodology

We track AC Horsens vs. FC Nordsjælland - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.