Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| AC Horsens 0 - 2 Brøndby IF | 100% |
| AC Horsens 0 - 0 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 0 - 1 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 1 - 0 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 1 - 1 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 2 - 0 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 0 - 3 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 1 - 2 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 2 - 1 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 3 - 0 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 1 - 3 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 2 - 2 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 3 - 1 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 2 - 3 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 3 - 2 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 3 - 3 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| Any Other Score | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket has this exact-score contract at **0% YES** right now, which means the market is pricing no meaningful probability on any listed scoreline being struck at settlement. Because the contract settles on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, it is the on-chain USDC/Polygon conditional token representing the referee’s final whistle, not the match narrative in isolation.
For context, AC Horsens and Brøndby IF have a long head-to-head history that leans Brøndby, with Brøndby ahead on wins in recent aggregated H2H records and both teams often finding the net in these meetings.[1][3][6][10] Recent form also points to competitive but not runaway scoring: Brøndby beat Viborg 1-0 in their latest league outing, while Horsens came off a 1-2 loss at Midtjylland and a 1-1 draw with Nordsjælland.[15][16] In exact-score markets, that sort of profile tends to keep 1-0, 1-1, 0-1 and 2-1 outcomes more relevant than high totals, especially when the price is sitting flat at zero.
The main catalysts are straightforward: confirmed line-ups, late injuries, any change to kick-off timing, and whether the match is actually completed within the settlement window. Polymarket users should also watch for postponement or abandonment, because the contract stays open if the fixture does not finish as scheduled, and only the completed 90-minute result counts. Live match data shows the game is/was being tracked in real time across major score services, so any red card, early goal, or unexpected team news would matter more than pre-match noise.[2][5][9]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
Trade AC Horsens vs. Brøndby IF - Exact Score on Polymarket Scam?
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