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Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group B

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group B" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 100% Volume: $148K Liquidity: $266K Closes: 10 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5100%
O/U 2.5 Games73%
Match Winner53%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-3.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-3.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+3.5)50%
Map Handicap: MW (-1.5) vs MIBR Academy (+1.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-6.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 2 Winner26%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.526%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-3.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-6.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+6.5)1%
Map Handicap: MIBR.A (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 36.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 39.50%

Market context

The Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group B prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Elimination match between METANOIA WOLVES and MIBR Academy in the Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group B, initially scheduled for July…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group B across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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