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Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group A

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group A" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-MANA eSports (-3.5) vs Subtop De France (+3.5) 100% Volume: $181K Closes: 28 Jun 2026
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Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-MANA eSports (-3.5) vs Subtop De France (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-MANA eSports (-3.5) vs Subtop De France (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-MANA eSports (-6.5) vs Subtop De France (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-MANA eSports (-6.5) vs Subtop De France (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Winner50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-MANA eSports (-3.5) vs Subtop De France (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map Handicap: ex-MANA (-1.5) vs Subtop De France (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-MANA eSports (-9.5) vs Subtop De France (+9.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-MANA eSports (-9.5) vs Subtop De France (+9.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group A. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between ex-MANA eSports and Subtop De France in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group A, initially scheduled for June 28 at 6:3…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group A across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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