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Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Scam?.

Map 2 Winner 67% Match Winner 56% O/U 2.5 Games 56% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $363K Liquidity: $191K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 67% 33% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 67% 33% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner67%
Match Winner56%
O/U 2.5 Games56%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs Phantom (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs Phantom (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-6.5) vs Phantom (+6.5)50%
Map Handicap: PHA (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Phantom (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Phantom (-6.5) vs Heroic (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
Map 1 Winner38%
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5)25%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 67% YES probability for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Semifinals 1 match between Heroic and Phantom in the Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 16 at 1:30PM ET. This market …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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