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Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 51% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe Up Next (-3.5) vs Alpha Dominion Nation (+3.5) 50% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FaZe Up Next (-3.5) vs Alpha Dominion Nation (+3.5) 50% Volume: $234K Liquidity: $210K Closes: 13 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
51% 49% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
51% 49% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.551%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe Up Next (-3.5) vs Alpha Dominion Nation (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FaZe Up Next (-3.5) vs Alpha Dominion Nation (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FaZe Up Next (-3.5) vs Alpha Dominion Nation (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe Up Next (-6.5) vs Alpha Dominion Nation (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FaZe Up Next (-6.5) vs Alpha Dominion Nation (+6.5)50%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: FaZe UN (-1.5) vs Alpha Dominion Nation (+1.5)0%

Market context

FaZe Up Next, the academy squad of FaZe Clan, faces Alpha Dominion Nation in the United21 Season 52 Upper Bracket quarterfinal 2, a Best-of-3 match scheduled for 6:30 AM ET today. On Polymarket, this contract trades at 0% YES for FaZe Up Next, implying the crowd expects an ADN victory or a cancellation, despite Liquipedia and Polymarket data identifying FaZe Up Next as the clear favourite entering the playoffs [5][6].

Historical precedent in academy-tier Counter-Strike suggests such extreme pricing often signals a roster issue or a scheduled cancellation rather than pure skill disparity. In the United21 playoffs, Alpha Dominion Nation recently defeated Vitality Academy 2–1 in a Group C decider on 12 July, demonstrating they can beat higher-profile academy teams [1]. Conversely, FaZe Up Next secured their playoff spot with a dominant 2–0 win over Vasteras, posting a 26–6 aggregate score, which contradicts the 0% implied probability unless the match is not proceeding [7].

Traders must monitor the official United21 schedule and team announcements for any cancellation notices before the settlement window closes at 16:50 UTC. The match depends on both teams confirming their rosters for the 13 July slot; if delayed beyond seven days or cancelled, the market resolves to 50–50 [6]. Recent activity shows FaZe Up Next holding a 1–0 Group Stage record, but the 0% price suggests the market anticipates a structural failure in the fixture rather than a competitive loss [8].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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