Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 69% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 60% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-6.5) vs Team Nemesis (+6.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5) | 49% |
| Match Winner | 36% |
| Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5) | 24% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5) | 22% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-9.5) vs Alliance (+9.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-6.5) vs Alliance (+6.5) | 1% |
| Map Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5) | 0% |
Market context
The Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Alliance and Team Nemesis in the XSE Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 9 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve t…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE… on Polymarket Scam?
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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