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Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 100% Map 2 Winner 69% O/U 2.5 Games 60% Volume: $738K Liquidity: $407K Closes: 9 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Winner69%
O/U 2.5 Games60%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-6.5) vs Team Nemesis (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)49%
Match Winner36%
Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)24%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)22%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-9.5) vs Alliance (+9.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-6.5) vs Alliance (+6.5)1%
Map Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)0%

Market context

The Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Alliance and Team Nemesis in the XSE Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 9 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve t…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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