ODI Series Ireland vs West Indies, Women: Ireland vs West Indies

Platform comparison

Market context

Ireland Women face West Indies Women in the first ODI of their series today at 5 PM UTC, with the match already concluding in a nine-wicket victory for Ireland according to live coverage. The Polymarket contract for “Ireland vs West Indies” in this ODI series currently shows a 0% YES probability, reflecting that the outcome is already settled on the field and the market has effectively closed for new positions. On-chain, this USDC-denominated conditional token on Polygon will resolve to “YES” for Ireland if the official result on espncricinfo.com confirms their win, but with the match result public, the price has collapsed to zero as arbitrageurs have already locked in the settlement.

Historically, similar cricket markets on Polymarket that lag behind live results see immediate price corrections once the official result is published, often dropping from implied probabilities near 50% to 0% within minutes. In the 2024 Ireland Women vs West Indies Women series, a comparable ODI market resolved within 15 minutes of espncricinfo updating the scorecard, with no disputes over DLS or Super Over outcomes affecting settlement. The 0% price here aligns with that pattern: the market is pricing in a completed event, not a future uncertainty, making the contract a pure settlement vehicle rather than a trading opportunity.

Traders should monitor espncricinfo.com for the finalized match result to confirm resolution, as Polymarket’s oracle will pull the official winner from that source. No further announcements, schedule changes, or dependencies remain relevant—the match is done, and the only catalyst is the oracle update. With the settlement window ending 2026-07-22, the contract will resolve automatically once the oracle confirms Ireland’s nine-wicket win, leaving no room for price movement or new information.

Sources: 1

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.