The Hundred, Women: MI London vs Manchester Super Giants

Platform comparison

Market context

Polymarket is pricing this contract at **0% YES**, which on Polygon means traders are effectively treating MI London as having no remaining path to the official winner on ESPNcricinfo. The market settles in **USDC** via conditional tokens, so the relevant question is not reputation or pre-match expectation but whether the fixture’s final published result names MI London as winner on ESPNcricinfo by the settlement deadline.

For context, the fixture has already moved through the kind of result states that usually anchor these markets: Manchester Super Giants have recent wins over London Spirit and Sunrisers Leeds, including a seven-wicket chase and a four-wicket victory built around strong bowling and Smriti Mandhana’s unbeaten 88.[2][14] The broader table also shows Manchester Super Giants in the upper half of the standings, while MI London have had a poor campaign by comparison.[3][12] Recent head-to-head results in The Hundred Women’s Competition have favoured Manchester Super Giants, including a 2025 win over MI London and a 2024 MI London victory, which is the sort of mixed but trend-sensitive history traders usually fold into a low-probability line.[9][12]

For a Polymarket user, the live catalysts are simple: the final scorecard on ESPNcricinfo, any revision to the result classification, and whether an official result is recorded at all. Cricbuzz had the match at Kennington Oval with Manchester Super Giants Women winning the toss and opting to bowl, which fits the more common in-play edge for a side comfortable defending or chasing under Hundred conditions.[1] Because the contract resolves off the published result, DLS, over-rate penalties, forfeits, walkovers, and any other on-field ruling still count as ordinary wins; only a match completed without an official winner would matter materially for settlement.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.