The Hundred: MI London vs Manchester Super Giants

Platform comparison

Market context

Polymarket prices this contract at **100% YES** on USDC-settled conditional tokens on Polygon, so the market is effectively treating MI London’s win as already locked in unless the official result published by ESPNcricinfo were to change the settlement outcome. The match itself is MI London against Manchester Super Giants in The Hundred, scheduled for 2 August 2026 at the Kia Oval, with Manchester Super Giants winning the toss and choosing to bowl first.[1][2][16]

For traders, the relevant comparison is not the raw pre-match preview but the recent head-to-head pattern: MI London had won the last three men’s meetings before this season, including tight chases and higher-scoring finishes in 2024 and 2025, which shows this fixture has not been one-way historically.[3][7] That said, Manchester Super Giants have already taken a notable away win in this year’s competition, beating London Spirit at Lord’s on 23 July, so the side’s current form has been strong enough to upset local conditions.[4] In a market already pinned at 100%, that combination matters mainly as a reference point for how quickly pricing can compress once a result becomes visible on-chain.

The practical catalysts now are limited to confirmation risk: official scorecard publication, any late scoring correction, and whether the match is completed under ordinary conditions, DLS/DRS, or an on-field tiebreak as defined by the contract. Because resolution follows ESPNcricinfo’s finalised result, the key dependency for Polymarket users is the same final match record that updates the conditional token outcome on Polygon, not the broadcast or social-media version of events.[3][7]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.