FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo

Platform comparison

Market context

FC Inter Turku and FK Sarajevo are locked in a UEFA Europa Conference League tie today, with the aggregate score currently tied at 1–1 after Sarajevo’s 1–1 draw in the first leg on 9 July. On Polymarket, this specific contract sits at a 100% YES price in USDC, reflecting that the match has already concluded or the settlement condition is irrevocably met. The conditional tokens on Polygon are effectively locked, as the on-chain oracle has likely already resolved the outcome given the live aggregate status.

Historically, Europa Conference League qualifiers with a 1–1 aggregate after the first leg rarely see a 100% market price unless the second leg is finished or the away-goal rule (if applicable) or a decisive penalty outcome is confirmed. Comparable cases from 2024–25 show that markets only hit full certainty post-final whistle or after penalty resolution; a pre-match 100% price is anomalous unless the event is settled. This suggests the settlement window closing at 15:00 UTC today aligns with a completed result, not a live prediction.

Traders should monitor official UEFA match reports and final score confirmations from Fox Sports or ESPN to verify whether the second leg has ended and if penalties were required. A recent Fox Sports boxscore confirms the 1–1 aggregate, but the final outcome of the second leg remains the critical dependency for oracle resolution [1]. Any delay in official result publication could temporarily stall token redemption, though the 100% price implies the market believes resolution is imminent.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.