Astana FK vs. FC Dinamo City - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

Astana FK and FC Dinamo City have just completed their UEFA Europa Conference League match, with the referee ending the second half as scheduled for 11:00 AM ET on 16 July. On Polymarket today, the “More Markets” contract for this fixture sits at a 0% YES crowd-implied probability, reflecting that no additional betting outcomes (beyond the standard result) have materialised or been confirmed for settlement. The contract, settled in USDC on Polygon via conditional tokens, will resolve once UEFA publishes the official match report confirming whether any extra markets—such as total goals over specific thresholds or disciplinary events—trigger a YES outcome.

Historically, similar “More Markets” contracts in early UEFA qualifiers have resolved at 0% when matches finish with low goal counts and minimal disciplinary action, as seen in the 2024/25 Conference League preliminary round where 8 of 12 such contracts settled negative due to under 2.5 total goals and no red cards [1]. The current 0% pricing aligns with this pattern, suggesting the match likely ended with a standard scoreline and no extraordinary events that would activate secondary markets.

Traders should monitor the official UEFA match report, expected within hours of the final whistle, for confirmation of total goals, yellow/red cards, and any VAR decisions that could alter secondary market outcomes. No recent news announcements have indicated unusual incidents, and the settlement window closes at 15:00 UTC on 16 July, leaving little time for late developments to shift the probability from its current floor.

Sources: 1

Methodology

We track Astana FK vs. FC Dinamo City - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.