Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Alashkert FA O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Alashkert FA 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Alashkert FA 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Alashkert FA (-1.5) | 0% |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj (-1.5) | 0% |
| Alashkert FA (-2.5) | 0% |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Alashkert FA O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Alashkert FA O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Alashkert FA 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Alashkert FA 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing the **more markets** contract on Alashkert’s UEFA Europa Conference League tie with CFR 1907 Cluj at **0% YES**, which on the platform means no market resolution has been assigned to that outcome so far even though the match is scheduled to kick off at 15:00 UTC. On Polymarket, positions are held in **USDC** and represented by **conditional tokens** on **Polygon**, so the crowd price reflects what traders are willing to pay for the specific settlement condition rather than a direct view on the football result itself.
The historical frame is not especially supportive of a surprise angle. In the two most recent head-to-head meetings, Alashkert have lost both and failed to score, while CFR Cluj have won 2-0 and 5-0, producing a 7-0 aggregate across that small sample.[2] That fits the wider market expectation that CFR Cluj start as the more established side, and external models have also leaned away from an upset, with one betting algorithm putting CFR Cluj’s win chance at 46.7% versus 26.7% for Alashkert and 26.7% for the draw.[4]
For traders, the practical catalysts are the confirmed line-ups, any late injury or rotation news, and whether the match stays on the scheduled timing, because Polymarket settlement ultimately depends on the contract’s exact event definition and official match status. The fixture has been listed to kick off at 15:00 UTC, which aligns with the broader reporting on the game schedule.[1] In a narrow market like this, any late change to venue, postponement, or official competition designation can matter more than pre-match opinion, since the token price moves on what can be verified at resolution rather than on live in-play sentiment.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Alashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj - More Markets on Polymarket Scam?
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →